Home buyers advised to look before they leap
Fox-Pitt Kelton home-builder analyst Robert Stevenson said Wednesday he thinks this year will turn out to be “a bad time to buy a home” as the U.S. economy loses more jobs, especially if buyers don’t plan on staying in the house for at least several years.
“While some suggest that now is great time to buy a home given low mortgage rates and falling home prices, we believe that for most homebuyers, the opposite is true,” Stevenson said in a report to clients.
The analyst released his bearish note on the same day the ADP employment index showed U.S. private-sector firms shed a larger-than-expected 693,000 jobs in December. See Economic Report.
“Buyers who lose their jobs or who stay in their homes for less than seven years stand to incur substantial losses as home prices decline further in 2009 and the U.S. experiences more moderate home-price appreciation going forward,” Fox-Pitt said. “We believe too few buyers do the simple break-even math before sinking their life savings into a house.”
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For buyers, the big fear is purchasing a house that will be worth less a year later, or even longer. Homeowners who bought at the peak of the housing bubble are underwater on their mortgages, meaning they owe more on the loan than the house is worth — and some are simply walking away.
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